Thanks - not sure about the 17.5% though - if you make the first, the second is still 58.3% isn't it? or is it..?
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. I just feel that I almost always fail to make a 6 CV throw - certainly feels like I make these way fewer than 41.6% of the time, whatever the maths!
Good point about the deviation and chance of a lucky outright kill...anyway, original question was on the interpretation of the rule and I think you are both pretty convincing on that! Best bet of all is buy more FAO's or stick to my early russians and not get any